Friday, June 1, 2012

Who is most likely ‘Not Going To Vote’ in November?

Untold thousands of Americans don’t vote, for one reason or another.

A big unknown for November is whether unemployed registered voters, over age 50, and generally not happy with Obama’s handling of the economy, will vote or will be so disaffected that they won’t bother to turn out.

Research shows that in prosperous times, as during the 1996 and 2000 elections, job loss had a negative impact on voter turnout. If you were unemployed you were less apt to vote in those years.

But in 2008 and 2010 job loss had a positive effect on voter turnout. Job loss has a mobilizing effect on turnout during periods of high unemployment, such as the one brought about by the most recent economic recession.

To vote or not to vote? Democratic and Republican campaign managers are out to woo the reluctant this election.

Related: Older, unemployed and pessimistic -- will they vote?


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